Growth Projections 2001 – 2031

Source:  Victoria In Future, 2004 (Department of Sustainability and Environment) 

Area / Municipality

(M) = Metro area

(R) = Rural Shire

(Wonthaggi) = key town

*Metro growth area

Area

 

 

 

km2

Density

2001

 

 

Persons/

km2

Population

2001

Pop. Growth

2001-2031

Persons

Natural increase

(births less deaths)

 

Persons

Migration to/from  elsewhere

 

 

Persons

Household Growth

2001-2031

 

H’holds

Avge Ann. Growth Rate %

2001 - 2031

Victoria In Future Comment

Loddon Statistical District (Bendigo)

14,503

11.5

166,954

+60,234

+7,700

+52,534

+38,786

+1.03

The Loddon region will experience strong… growth, much will be in the regional centre of Bendigo and in smaller towns in close proximity to Melbourne in the Macedon Ranges and Mt. Alexander Shires

Bass Coast Shire (R) (Wonthaggi)

864

29.7

25,631

+19,748

+2,052

+21,800

+11,457

+1.92

Pop. growth will be fuelled by the desire to live and retire in popular coastal areas, close to Melbourne.

Baw Baw Shire (R) (Warragul)

4,032

9.0

36,404

+11,524

+1,419

+10,104

+7,754

+0.92

Growth in western part as over-spill from Melb.’s SE growth corridor.  Significant growth in other parts not expected.

City of Greater Bendigo

2,999

30.2

90,449

+36,733

+6,182

+30,552

+23,457

+1.14

Strong growth.

Hepburn Shire (R) (Daylesford)

1,470

9.9

14,488

+2,560

-  800

+3,359

+2,260

+0.54

Growth likely to occur around existing towns due to relatively strict controls on rural res. dev. and large amounts of Crown land.

City of Hume* (M) (Sunbury)

504

270

135,986

+50,432

+38,568

+11,864

+29,797

+1.06

Strong broadacre growth.

Macedon Ranges Shire (R)

1,747

21.6

37,672

+ 21,601

+4,761

+16,840

+ 11,114

+1.52

Growth in exurban municipalities such as Macedon Ranges on the periphery of Melbourne, is projected to be strong.  Macedon Ranges is projected to be one of the fastest growing exurban areas in Victoria.   Population growth is projected to be well above the Victorian average and household growth will be at an even faster rate.

Melton Shire* (M) (Melton)

527

100.2

52,830

+108,188

+32,776

+75,412

+44,172

+3.78

Strong broadacre growth

Mitchell Shire (R) (Kilmore)

2,862

9.9

28,406

+20,429

+6,793

+13,635

+10,055

+1.82

Growth in exurban municipalities such as Mitchell on the periphery of Melbourne, is projected to be strong.

Moorabool Shire (R)

(Bacchus Marsh)

2,110

11.9

25,087

+13,157

+4,435

+8,722

+6,999

+1.42

Growth in exurban municipalities such as Moorabool on the periphery of Melbourne, is projected to be strong.

Mornington Peninsula Shire (M)  (Mornington)

723

183.1

132,387

+46,880

+6,344

+40,536

+27,456

+1.02

Pop. growth will be fuelled by the desire to live and retire in popular coastal areas, close to Melbourne.

Mt. Alexander Shire (R)

(Castlemaine)

1,529

11.2

17,142

+2,491

-1,080

+3,571

+2,666

+0.45

Growth in Castlemaine and rural areas. Higher growth in C’maine’s hinterland due to preference for rural and small town living.

Murrindindi (R)

(Eildon)

3,877

3.5

13,641

+3,013

+486

+2,527

+2,474

+0.7%

Steady growth, less than State average and other exurban areas such as Mitchell, Moorabool and Macedon Ranges.

Nillumbik Shire (M) (Eltham)

433

140.5

60,818

+5,123

+13,549

-  8,425

+5,776

+0.27

Pop. will increase only slightly as land supply becomes a constraint on residential  development.

South Gippsland (R)

(Leongatha)

3,295

7.9

26,152

+5,775

- 105

+5,880

+4,500

+0.67

Moderate to strong growth, particularly in west of Shire, driven by exurban growth from Melbourne.

Surf Coast Shire (R)  (Torquay)

1,553

13.4

20,872

+13,394

+2,535

+10,859

+7,508

+1.67

Pop. growth will be fuelled by the desire to live and retire in popular coastal areas, close to Melbourne.

Yarra Ranges Shire (M)

(Lilydale)

2,470

57.7

142,553

+5,282

+25,427

-  20,145

+11,216

+0.12

Population will increase only slightly as land supply becomes a constraint on residential development